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Greece Wins London Ruling on GDP-Linked Warrant Buyback

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London High Court of Justice
London’s Royal Courts of Justice, where Greece secured a ruling on its GDP-linked warrant buyback. Credit: Wikimedia Commons / David Castor / Public Domain

Greece has won a London court ruling over its plan to buy back GDP-linked warrant that it issued to government bondholders during the country’s 2012 sovereign debt restructuring.

The case focused on Athens’ effort to repurchase all outstanding GDP-linked warrants, which mature in 2042, at a call price of just over 25 cents on the euro.

What the London Court decided

Greece asked London’s High Court to confirm that it had validly exercised its option to buy all outstanding GDP-linked securities. It also sought confirmation that its calculation of the call price was lawful and binding.

However, a group of investors represented by law firm White & Case challenged Greece’s position. They argued that Greece had not properly exercised its buyback option and disputed the way the country calculated the call price.

Judge Robert Bright ruled in Greece’s favor, although investors could still challenge the decision on appeal.

A legacy of Greece’s 2012 Debt restructuring

The dispute concerns a legacy instrument from Greece’s 2012 sovereign debt restructuring, one of the most significant episodes of the eurozone debt crisis.

At the time, private bondholders accepted a major reduction in the value of their Greek government bonds. In return, they received a new package of securities, including GDP-linked warrants. These warrants gave investors the possibility of an additional return if Greece’s economy performed strongly in the years after the crisis.

Importantly, Greece did not sell these instruments separately in a conventional cash transaction. Instead, it issued them as part of the broader debt swap. As a result, the current buyback price should not be viewed as the same as, or directly comparable to, an original sale price.

What are GDP-Linked warrants?

GDP-linked warrants are financial instruments that tie payments to a country’s economic performance. According to Reuters, they usually pay investors when economic growth exceeds a defined threshold.

In Greece’s case, the warrants offered bondholders potential upside if the country’s economy recovered more strongly after the restructuring. If Greece met the relevant growth conditions, investors could receive additional payments. If it did not, the securities could generate little or no return.

These instruments can be difficult to value and hard to trade because their worth depends on future economic performance, contractual formulas and investor expectations. Reuters has described them as highly illiquid and complex fixed-income instruments.

Why Greece wants to buy GDP-linked warrant back

For Greece, buying back the warrants would remove a long-term contingent liability from its debt profile. Because the securities mature in 2042, they could still trigger future payments if the Greek economy meets the agreed conditions.

By repurchasing them now, Athens would simplify part of its post-crisis debt structure and reduce uncertainty over possible future obligations linked to economic growth.

The proposed price of just over 25 cents on the euro reflects the contractual call price under the securities’ terms. It does not reflect a market price from their original issuance.

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