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Countries Predicted to Win Most Medals at the Paris Olympics

2024 Paris Olympics
Data analysts have made predictions for which countries will secure the most medals ahead of the 2024 Paris Olympic Games. Credit: Darthvadrouw / CC BY-SA 4.0 / Wikimedia Commons

With the 2024 Paris Olympics set to commence in just a few months time. sports analysts and experts are already offering their predictions for which country’s athletes will win the most medals.

Among those making predictions are statistics experts from the company Gracenote, who are planning to provide new predictions every month. To make the predictions, the data analysts examine statistics from the last summer Games in Tokyo.

USA predicted to win 123 medals in Paris

According to the analysts, the United States will once again win the most medals at the Paris Olympics, attaining around 123 in total. China is predicted to come in second place for total medals with about 89. China is expected to win just four fewer gold medals than the United States. This would be the same amount as they were awarded in Tokyo three years ago.

Great Britain is also expected to do well. British athletes are projected to perform on a par with their previous outing at the Olympics, although they might not secure as many gold medals.

The host country – France – may benefit from the home-field advantage. They are expected to jump up to fourth place in the medal table and come in third for gold medals. This would place them right behind the United States and China, as reported by The Telegraph.

Australia is expected to secure the fifth spot with around 50 medals, marking their highest tally in twenty years since Athens 2004.

Athletes from Russia and Belarus banned from Olympics

Since February 2022, athletes from Russia and Belarus have been banned from competing internationally in most Olympic sports due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

This makes it harder to predict how athletes selected to compete as Individual Neutral Athletes will perform in terms of winning medals. Since only individuals are allowed to compete as neutrals and not teams, the number of medals they win is likely to be limited.

Preparations for the Olympics have been severely affected for athletes from Ukraine due to the ongoing conflict. However, they are expected to win three gold medals and a total of 13 medals.

Athletes from Great Britain are expected to win a total of 66 medals, keeping up their status as a top competitor since they hosted the games in 2012. They’ve been successful by winning medals across a variety of sports, and it looks like this trend will continue in Paris.

However, they might not win as many gold medals this time. The prediction is 13 golds, which would be nine less than three years ago.

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